FaB-Results
Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

1 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Pedersen
46th • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hex Hex (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.