Puffin, Hightail at Battle Hardened: Vienna
Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hex Hex (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.