Battle Hardened: Vienna - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jan Kučera

1st • 8-2-0

80%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.8

Surp

3.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christoph Greischberger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hex Hex (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Denis Medjic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tom Tucek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Igor Makarev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R3	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.50
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.54
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.18
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.56
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.70
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.70

Vincent Weinzierl

36th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs András Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Held (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Leo Matuška (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Gupfinger (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bence Androkity (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Michael Pedersen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.19
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Patrik Fabry

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Katrenčin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.