Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened: Vienna

Prism, Awakener of Sol

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Leo Matuška

16th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Philippe Cabero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Wallner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Koch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Andreas Reling (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.09
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.45
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Manfred Eregger

24th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Josef Doležal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Schramm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.30
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.75
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Jakub Kouřil

50th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Balint Herendi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Martin Hajko (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.49
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.78
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Benjamin Brüssau

dropped • 1-3-1

80%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Erik Ganser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Max Karstenberg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs András Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dániel Komjáti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.35
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Andreas Mitterlechner

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Neugebauer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Gupfinger (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 27:73

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.