Battle Hardened: Vienna - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Botond Szujó

14th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Katrenčin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Robert Gupfinger (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.10
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.50
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.56
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.64
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.27

Théo Crevon

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Greischberger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthias Zeiziger (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Cabero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hex Hex (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.22
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Maximilian Klein

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.