Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Vienna

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Botond Szujó

14th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Katrenčin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Hoffmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Robert Gupfinger (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Manfred Eregger (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.46
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.57
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.43
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.45

Théo Crevon

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christoph Greischberger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthias Zeiziger (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philippe Cabero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hex Hex (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.25
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Maximilian Klein

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.