Dorinthea Ironsong at Battle Hardened: Vienna
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Botond Szujó (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrik Fabry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Lančarič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Gupfinger (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luka Leko (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.