Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hugo Platret

5th • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeroen van der Wal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daan Barten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.39
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.87
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Philip van Donselaar

5th • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Doornenbal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daan Barten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.23
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.61
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Jeroen van der Wal

11th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael de Kok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kerwin Holtslag (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.15
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jimmy Nguyen

14th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs René Schep (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lily-anne Hurkmans (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Dominic Rodgers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jun Lin Xie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.52
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.18

Bart de Jong

30th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent de Wildt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.22
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.57
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

Tat Chuong Hua

39th • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Samed Demir (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.61
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.79

Laurent Michaud

33rd • 1-4-1

67%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeroen van der Wal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michel Radosevic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Draw	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

Niels Vos

dropped • 0-4-1

60%

Meta

-2.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Mark Henderson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Doornenbal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Draw	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

Gary White

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bram bertens (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.09
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Calum Young

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daan Barten (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Merijn Poorthuis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.53
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Kevin van Steenis

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Noah Cagle (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.26
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Michiel Hasperhoven

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael de Kok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.38

Peter Markovič

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gary White (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Mihai Zorila

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Selene van Vlijmen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Doornenbal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.26
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Rob Thoen

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jun Lin Xie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bradley Wayburne (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86

Tom Kruijsen

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Robin Waij (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.