National Championship 2025 - Netherlands - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gaál Benjamin

21st • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kurt Vooys (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gabe Sher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jeroen van der Wal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.20
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.37
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Samed Demir

40th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Michiel Flaton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.90
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.25
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Stefan Hilderink

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samed Demir (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.31
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Wouter Ouwehand

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Max de Wilde (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.