National Championship 2025 - Netherlands - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

David Kuric

16th • 5-1-0

33%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.1

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bram bertens (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Gabe Sher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.19
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.37
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.50
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.75

Laurens Van der Beek

27th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

Deck

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 81:19

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jun Lin Xie (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Aidan Wall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kevin Wiercx (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.72
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.44

Bart van Koningsbruggen

25th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Robin Waij (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Dominic Rodgers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.38	1.02

René Schep

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.