FaB-Results

Puffin, Hightail at National Championship 2025 - Netherlands

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eyüp Vroegop
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Grimaldo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 4:96
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Wiercx (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
Katsu, the Wanderer
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robin Waij (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Wessel Groot
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Radosevic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 4:96

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.