Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at National Championship 2025

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hao Ru Wu

26th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

7.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Bart de Jong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

7.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.04
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.76	2.78
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.76	3.13

Kilian Schellekens

28th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

5.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.16
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.76	3.13

Dominic Rodgers

31st • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aidan Wall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Beau Franz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

20:80

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.28
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Dash I/O	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.