National Championship 2025 - Netherlands - Levia, Shadowborn Abomination (CC)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hao Ru Wu

26th • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

5.8

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

10:90

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 10:90

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Niels Vos (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Bart de Jong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.87
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.32
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.61

Kilian Schellekens

28th • 3-3-0

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

5.3

Diff

Deck

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robert van der Padt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 10:90

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.71
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.98
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.61

Dominic Rodgers

31st • 2-4-0

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aidan Wall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Beau Franz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Spapens (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.28
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R3	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.