National Championship 2025 - Netherlands - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gabe Sher

23rd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 66:34

90:10

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 90:10

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs David Kuric (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.12
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.30
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.18
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.21
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Sander Neeft

19th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R7	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Robert van der Padt

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 90:10

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michiel Hasperhoven (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	90%	Win	✓	0.10	0.04
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Thomas van den Berg

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Merijn Poorthuis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.