National Championship 2025 - Netherlands - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Donovan van Beek

15th • 6-0-0

83%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

3.5

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Aidan Wall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sander Neeft (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.38
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.61
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.74
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.29

Selene van Vlijmen

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Wayburne (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michel Radosevic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Kurt Vooys

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michiel Flaton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 81:19

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.30

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.