Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Donovan van Beek

15th • 6-0-0

67%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kevin van Steenis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Aidan Wall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sander Neeft (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.34
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.60
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.87

Selene van Vlijmen

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Wayburne (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michel Radosevic (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Kurt Vooys

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michiel Flaton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 69:31

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.53

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.