FaB-Results

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at National Championship 2025 - Netherlands

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Richard Kruithof
38th • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Markovič (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 23:77
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Andrzejczak (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 8:92
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laurent Michaud (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 23:77
Dorinthea Ironsong
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Janneke Verstappen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michiel Flaton (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Dash I/O
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Bradley Wayburne
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lily-anne Hurkmans (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Thoen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Selene van Vlijmen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.