Azalea, Ace in the Hole
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tat Chuong Hua (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bart van Koningsbruggen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Beau Franz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jeroen van der Wal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.