Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan Griffin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Gilchrist (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Win vs Harris Lenz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jasin Long (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 11: Win vs Nik Smith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ben Dodd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
23rd • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nish Nimmagadda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Potini (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierce Lloyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ben Kent (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mae Jane Collett (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quazi Tahmeedzaman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Rowley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jared Fung (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Win vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
37th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam G (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Day (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Fung (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Lester (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Quazi Tahmeedzaman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
18th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nathan Samu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Amos Norris (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ben Thomas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
10th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Holding (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
52nd • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ross Newson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Schroder (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hamish Morgan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Joshua Wellington (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dave Laffan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
53rd • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Maxwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dave Laffan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Emanuel Tozer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs Samuel Gisborne (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
46th • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Bastion (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Samuel Johnson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Lester (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Amos Norris (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs john jaurigue (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Keegan Walls (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Kent (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Anthony Wedge (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Griffin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Dunlop (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Herbert Fairlie (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Max Middleton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Dexter Rei-Maynard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Marshall (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keegan Walls (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Isaac Olssen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nik Smith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-0-0
100%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nikola Campbell (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Samu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Shirley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yom Ambrose (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jayden Allan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Olssen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Lynch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grayson Ziogas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Stanley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lynnette Nattrass (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kiki Labad (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marshall Stevenson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Holding (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Poll (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Tozer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Curtis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Peek (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.