Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wairongo Ihimaera (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Middleton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.