Prism, Awakener of Sol
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 6-0-0
100%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
5.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Payne (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ben Dodd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nish Nimmagadda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
21st • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Herbert Fairlie (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lawson Maric (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Strachan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nish Nimmagadda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sam Payne (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
34th • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Goessi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roger Miller (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Thomas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Aaron Curtis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sean Stanley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
16th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Griffin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danne Blomfield (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 10: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Quazi Tahmeedzaman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
25th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mickail Lim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Mike Ngawati (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Marshall Stevenson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 11: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dexter Rei-Maynard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
27th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Thomson-Sheck (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Mae Jane Collett (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucinda Robertson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Davenport (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Karel Doorman (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dexter Rei-Maynard (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dave Laffan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Qi Wei Wu (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Barlow (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Stanley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Cain (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Davenport (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Lester (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amos Norris (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zach Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Yang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mike Ngawati (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Gisborne (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Wakefield (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
0.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elijah Hewlett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Smith (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.