Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

1st 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.2
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marshall Stevenson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Cameron Hay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
24th 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Lynch (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Herbert Fairlie (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Falconer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Henry Moore (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
29th 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Kim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
Bravo, Showstopper
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Wedge (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Day (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rob Davenport (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Seb Hart (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harris Lenz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yom Ambrose (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Payne (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cameron Hay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Whitelock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Tung (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tamsyn Willow Lawn Stewart (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seb Hart (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Fisher (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
dropped 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierce Lloyd (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Evan Macdonald (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marshall Stevenson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Olssen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.