FaB-Results

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at National Championship 2025 - New Zealand

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jasin Long
15th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
5.5
Diff
Deck
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Tung (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rhys Hanrahan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Seb Hart (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nish Nimmagadda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 22:78
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Maxwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Isaac Olssen
35th • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.2
Diff
Deck
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harris Lenz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Clarke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tamesi Harman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs James Shirley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.