FaB-Results

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at National Championship 2025 - New Zealand

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jasin Long
15th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
6.3
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Tung (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Wightman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 11:89
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rhys Hanrahan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Seb Hart (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nish Nimmagadda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Maxwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Isaac Olssen
35th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.7
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harris Lenz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Clarke (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tamesi Harman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mathew Fletcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs James Shirley (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.