FaB-Results
Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lucas Ward
5th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.2
Diff
Deck
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Bates (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kenny forrester (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Maxwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Oliver Berry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Jayden Allan
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Deck
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Peek (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danne Blomfield (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Jarl Vetreiði
!
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nik Smith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Macdonald (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Digl Dixon
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
Deck
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Gillingham (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 66:34
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dave Laffan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Darge (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Edward Kim
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
Deck
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Dodd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Dunlop (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Jordan Schroder
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Deck
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emanuel Tozer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Donald Tang
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Deck
Fang, Dracai of Blades
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Potini (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Jarl Vetreiði
!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nik Smith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.