Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025 - United Kingdom
Prism, Awakener of Sol
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Catling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ed Kennan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 11: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
Round 15: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
36th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anya North (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs anna xia (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs George Keys (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Winning (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
28th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs George Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Loss vs James Micklewright (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
30th • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Gordon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Callum Young (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Teague (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Stefanos Argyriou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tim Coates (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Declan Patrick (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Seb Lee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Zak Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harrison Shore (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Dyson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Round 11: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Crame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Goodchild (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Frazer Eastman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Marco Casadio (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Tim Coates (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 10: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rhys Francis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Win vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Callum Young (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hon-man Yau (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Toby Beckham (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Alfie Thomasson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Mann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.