FaB-Results
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Samuel Braben
5th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
4.6
Diff
Deck
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kane Wilson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Debling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Damon Elgie (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Jason Rolfe
9th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
4.7
Diff
Deck
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Debling (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Edward Catling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Kate Dunstone
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
Deck
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tom Hazell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Dash I/O
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Kinnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Dash I/O
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Henry Burlace (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Scott "HowlingMines" Mines
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
Deck
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jess Swandale (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Emel Walsh
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Deck
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Keys (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Collins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Farrow (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.