National Championship 2025 - United Kingdom - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alex Price

22nd • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

3.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Clark (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tom Hazell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

70:30

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daniel Winning (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Edward Catling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R10	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.65
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.96
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.41

Daniel Mckinlay

14th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Coates (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joseph Walley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alex Chițu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.11
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.17
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.29
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Liam Holden

13th • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.2

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs James Adams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.40
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.72
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	2.07
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Zak Murray

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Steve Margetson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Curry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jess Swandale (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Pontus Angerfors (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.62
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Paul Farnell

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Clark (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.23
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Robert Catling

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Curry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hon-man Yau (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.23
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ryan Debling

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Brown (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.47
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Scott Morris

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anya North (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.40
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Tyhrone Bennett

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.1

Diff

Deck

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marco Casadio (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.13
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Tom Barnaby-Pass

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs James Micklewright (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jude Fisher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.