National Championship 2025 - United Kingdom - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Henry Burlace

50th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adam Mann (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Micklewright (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Joshua Kinnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.76
R11	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marco Casadio

40th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

Deck

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Kiran Lee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs George Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.26
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.35
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.28
R12	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Joe Fletcher

45th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rhys Francis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Athena Halkia (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Alex Price (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Samuel Thomas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.62
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Joshua Kinnett

49th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs James Adams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kate Dunstone (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sara van Reeken (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Henry Burlace (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R11	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.64
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.