National Championship 2025 - United Kingdom - Marlynn, Treasure Hunter (CC)

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

George Keys

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Emel Walsh (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Curry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.27
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.68
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R11	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Finlay Shepherd

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liam Canning (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Connor O'Sullivan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	20%	Win	✗	0.78	1.44
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Kyle Mullings

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Leila Catton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Anya North (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.