Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
32nd • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Gordon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pontus Angerfors (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Round 11: Win vs Thomas Harle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.