Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 6-0-0
67%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
6.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Igor Brkic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Round 11: Win vs Danial Affendy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Max Chapman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
18th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Cooper (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Round 12: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
57th • 5-1-0
33%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs bill huynh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Asquith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Round 12: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
69th • 4-1-1
83%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roy Lai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daimon Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew O'Grady (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Hill (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
20th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
5.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Debney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Win vs Brad Adam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Chapman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Oliver Hill (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Round 12: Win vs bill huynh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
32nd • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Ranasinghe (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Muhamad Fachrul (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
13th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
26th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Jia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Muhamad Fachrul (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Kindl (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 11: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
42nd • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
56th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
5.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Dominy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs bill huynh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 10: Win vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Igor Brkic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Vincent Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
39th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Crowther (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tom Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Igor Brkic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Ryen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valentine Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kael Sabben (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs James MacDonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oliver "BLOODRUSH GAMING" Padberg (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Kindl (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Nelson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lachlan Saunders (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Beckett McNeil (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Portelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs bill huynh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Lewis (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Murray Shaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.