Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship 2025 - Australia
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 6-0-0
83%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
5.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Igor Brkic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 11: Win vs Danial Affendy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
90:10
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Max Chapman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 92:8
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 90% | Win |
18th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Cooper (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Round 12: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
57th • 5-1-0
50%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs bill huynh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Asquith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Round 12: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
69th • 4-1-1
83%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
5.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roy Lai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daimon Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
12th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew O'Grady (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Hill (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
20th • 4-2-0
17%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
6.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Debney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Win vs Brad Adam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Chapman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 92:8
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Oliver Hill (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 12: Win vs bill huynh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 90% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
32nd • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Ranasinghe (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Muhamad Fachrul (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
13th • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Round 12: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Loss |
26th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Jia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Muhamad Fachrul (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Kindl (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Round 11: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
42nd • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Troy Wilson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
56th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Dominy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs bill huynh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Round 10: Win vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Igor Brkic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Vincent Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
39th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Gibbons (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Crowther (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tom Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Igor Brkic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
70th • 0-5-1
33%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Ryen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valentine Nguyen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kael Sabben (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs James MacDonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Draw |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oliver "BLOODRUSH GAMING" Padberg (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Kindl (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Euan Ansell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Thompson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Nelson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lachlan Saunders (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Beckett McNeil (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Portelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs bill huynh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Lewis (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Murray Shaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.