FaB-Results

Puffin, Hightail at National Championship 2025 - Australia

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Philip Nagle
52nd • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
Dash I/O
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Liu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alexander Van Daalen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Jonathan Luey
59th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
7.3
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 4:96
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs John Farren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kael Sabben (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.