Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at National Championship 2025

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kael Sabben (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Euan Ansell (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.13
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.19
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.63
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.76
R13	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 20:80

Puffin, Hightail

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.