FaB-Results
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Madeline Southwood
3rd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
6.1
Diff
Deck
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kael Sabben (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xavier Nelson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Sam Sutherland
5th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Deck
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Murray Shaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Emma Hollingsworth
9th • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
6.8
Diff
Deck
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brad Adam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tom Debney (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Nathan Lucev
40th • 5-1-0
83%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
Deck
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brendan Champion (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Remi Grasset (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Murray Shaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
benji muehlebach
48th • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Deck
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ruairidh Wasson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brendan Champion (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Eric Glumac
66th • 2-3-1
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
Deck
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Quigley (Unknown)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Roy Lai (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Fahad Rahman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Andrew Qi
31st • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
Deck
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 76:24
Dash I/O
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Peter Katsakis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Cooper (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Nick McGrath
62nd • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Deck
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Toby Firth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Cooper (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Louis Jia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Alex Crowther
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Deck
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cody Gebert (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Brendan Champion
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
Deck
Valda, Seismic Impact
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Declan Bradley (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 84:16
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Lucev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs benji muehlebach (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Daniel Rusling
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
Deck
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danial Affendy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aidan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Farren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Robert Piper
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Deck
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ruairidh Wasson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Ryan Hill
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Deck
Arakni, Huntsman
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Lenihan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.