National Championship 2025 - Australia - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Shaun Leow

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

4.5

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Max Chapman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Toby Firth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.09
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.10
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	2.72
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Tye Soens

37th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

70:30

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.09
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.81
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.36
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	1.10

Louis Jia

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Karunaratne (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.22
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Tom Karunaratne

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tom Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Louis Jia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.62
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.