Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Shaun Leow

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

5.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Max Chapman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Toby Firth (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.11
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.77	3.64
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Tye Soens

37th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Andreas Andronicou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.08
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.79
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.82
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.90

Louis Jia

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Karunaratne (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Calvin Yu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Tom Karunaratne

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tom Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Louis Jia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.84
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.