FaB-Results

Fang, Dracai of Blades at National Championship 2025 - Australia

Fang, Dracai of Blades

Fang, Dracai of Blades

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brad Adam
72nd • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs James MacDonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nando Nando (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
William Bucknall
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Valda, Seismic Impact
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Declan Bradley (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!!
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.