Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikołaj Kasznia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
12th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mikołaj Łysko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
14th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Grzonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
22nd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Stanislawski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Artur Dziadosz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
36th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Krzysztof Mucha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikołaj Walc (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
39th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damian Rusin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
47th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Pijas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michał Sucharski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mikołaj Walc (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eliza Grabarczyk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.