Jarl Vetreiði at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland

Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michał Biernacki

13th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrzej Meczynski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.24

Igor Wesołowski

16th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Artur Dziadosz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michał Sucharski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.64
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Łukasz "Bob" Grądzik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.50

Wojciech Ruciński

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45

Jarl Vetreiði

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Patrycjusz Janas

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.