Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Sucharski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
Round 6: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Gapski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bartłomiej Wieszok (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
31st • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikołaj Łysko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mateusz Grzonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
45th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Pacholski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrzej Meczynski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
50th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Szura (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mikołaj Łysko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mariusz Gapski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
58th • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mariusz Gapski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Szura (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arkadiusz Modzelewski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mateusz Grzonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mikołaj Walc (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mateusz Grzonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.