FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pawel Kutesko
19th • 4-2-1
29%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Deck
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrzej Wilczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
Miłosz Wierzchoń
44th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Sucharski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eliza Grabarczyk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.