FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pawel Kutesko
19th • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrzej Wilczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65
Prism, Awakener of Sol
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Miłosz Wierzchoń
44th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Sucharski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 35:65
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eliza Grabarczyk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.