FaB-Results

Arakni, Marionette at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)

Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rafał Szymaszek
18th • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Deck
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
Uzuri, Switchblade
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
Kano, Dracai of Aether
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
Jakub Ratajczyk
27th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
Deck
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Łukasz "Bob" Grądzik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michał Sucharski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartłomiej Wieszok (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Billewicz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.