World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz) - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Aleksander Zabłocki

1st • 8-2-0

50%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.9

Surp

4.4

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Arkadiusz Modzelewski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

50% (5/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.07
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.38
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.91
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.73
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.13

Robert Szura

56th • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grzegorz Pijas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Laskowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eliza Grabarczyk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Łukasz "Bob" Grądzik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.14

Mateusz Grzonka

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michał Sucharski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Stanislawski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Pacholski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.86
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.