FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Artur Dziadosz
26th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arkadiusz Modzelewski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Prism, Awakener of Sol
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 80:20
Stefan Dyjak
43rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikołaj Łysko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.