Prism, Awakener of Sol at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
32nd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Szura (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
37th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrzej Wilczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Krzysztof Mucha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Laskowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pawel Kosminski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
38th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Laskowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Szura (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Krzysztof Mucha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
55th • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Gapski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Stanislawski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.