World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz) - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maciej Janik

3rd • 6-3-0

33%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pawel Kosminski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.20
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.53
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.84
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.79
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.76
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Mateusz Sass

24th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eliza Grabarczyk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.05
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.71
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.64
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Paweł Kręcki

40th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.73
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Tomasz Zalejski

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Łukasz "Bob" Grądzik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.