Kassai of the Golden Sand at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-3-0
22%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Pawel Kosminski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
24th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eliza Grabarczyk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
40th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ksawery Ciesielski (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Łukasz "Bob" Grądzik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.