FaB-Results

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michał Zalejski
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mikołaj Walc (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!!
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Marcin Pelzner
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Stanislawski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.