Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 18:82
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.