Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at World Championship Qualifier

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala

5th • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.36
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.67
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

30th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60

Jarl Vetreiði

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.41
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.41

Maciej Laskowski

34th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Kano, Dracai of Aether

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robert Szura (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.06
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.57
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.23
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

41st • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrzej Meczynski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Pacholski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Fang, Dracai of Blades

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.23
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.25
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.