Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
30th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Skruch (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
34th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Robert Szura (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
41st • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrzej Meczynski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Pacholski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.