FaB-Results

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robert Szary
2nd • 8-2-0
80%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
Deck
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jan Biernacki (Unknown)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maciej Laskowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Maciej Kawończyk
9th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
Deck
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikołaj Kasznia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dominik Piatkowski (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Michał Billewicz
15th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
Deck
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Łukasz "Bob" Grądzik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikołaj Łysko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrzej Meczynski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Arkadiusz Modzelewski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Piotr Przyczyna
21st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Deck
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Kassai of the Golden Sand
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Łukasz Kolibaj (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maciej Laskowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.