Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at World Championship

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski

3rd • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Pawel Kosminski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Aleksander Zabłocki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.10
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.12
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.48
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.22
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.42
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.58
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Adam Makowski

28th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Ratajczyk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jaroslaw "Mistman" Gwizdala (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arkadiusz Modzelewski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Pawel Kosminski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.22
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.93
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.45

Krzysztof Mucha

46th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Gapski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrzej Wilczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Marcin Chorzepa

48th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Krzysztof Mucha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andrzej Wilczyński (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Gapski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mikołaj Walc (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.22
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Mariusz Gapski

49th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs kuba tambor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mikołaj Walc (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Szymon Piątek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Krzysztof Mucha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Łukasz "Bob" Grądzik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.42
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Wiktor Woźniak

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robert Szura (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.