Puffin, Hightail at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)
Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrzej Meczynski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arkadiusz Modzelewski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 17:83
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.