Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
53rd • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikołaj Kasznia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Łukasz "Bob" Grądzik (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastian Maciejkowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mikołaj Walc (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.