Fang, Dracai of Blades at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Poland (Bydgoszcz)
Fang, Dracai of Blades
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Artur Dziadosz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafał Szymaszek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mikołaj Łysko (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
25th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arkadiusz Modzelewski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Piotr Przyczyna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
33rd • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hubert Pszczółkowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wojciech Arendt (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eliza Grabarczyk (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Krzysztof Mucha (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
57th • 1-5-1
71%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Maciej Pacholski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Gapski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jagreen Lern (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Michał Zalejski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kamil Zabłocki senior (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kamil Grodecki (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marcin Chorzepa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Draw |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.