Nuu, Alluring Desire at Battle Hardened: Memphis 2025
Nuu, Alluring Desire
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Epermanis (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Loss vs Cody Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
17th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs JP Coleman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
37th • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trey Herring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alain Arduain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Jesse Hinman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Draw |
40th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Rolf (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Natalie Birch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paula Stolzer (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Brummett (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs JP Coleman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Bader (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Conrad Niebuhr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Cutbirth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mike Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Klasman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Green (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Rivera (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jesse Hinman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Draw |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Win vs Bill Early (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.